Climate models disagree on how the year-to-year variability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation will change in a warmer world. Using a high-resolution climate model with an improved tropical Pacific mean state, research now suggests that El Niño activity tends to get weaker under GHG-induced warming.
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Towards improved seasonal rainfall prediction in the tropical Pacific Islands
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access 03 August 2023
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Hu, S. Refining El Niño projections. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 724–725 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01126-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01126-2
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Towards improved seasonal rainfall prediction in the tropical Pacific Islands
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