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Volume 17 Issue 5, May 2024

Clouds and climate sensitivity

Clouds are the leading source of uncertainty in predicting climate change because they strongly influence Earth’s energy balance, yet how they interact with the climate system is not well understood. Tropical anvil clouds produced by thunderstorms are particularly important because they reflect sunlight and trap thermal radiation, but their fate in a warming world is unclear. The image shows anvil clouds casting shadows over the Amazon rainforest.

See McKim et al.

Image: Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit, NASA Johnson Space Center. Cover design: Alex Wing

Editorial

  • Cloud uncertainties have been a persistent problem in climate science, but innovative approaches are starting to make headway.

    Editorial

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News & Views

  • Observations, theory, and modelling reduce the uncertainty in high cloud feedbacks, suggesting a higher climate sensitivity than previously thought.

    • Aiko Voigt
    News & Views
  • The trace-element compositions of mantle-derived basalts suggest that the asthenosphere has two distinct melt layers, with unique chemical compositions and physical properties.

    • Emily J. Chin
    News & Views
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All Minerals Considered

  • Hydrous minerals within the Earth affect volatile cycling and mantle geodynamics. Jun Tsuchiya explains how stable phases of these minerals are being uncovered at increasingly high pressures.

    • Jun Tsuchiya
    All Minerals Considered
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Research Briefings

  • Aerosol–cloud interactions are the largest uncertainty in radiative forcing. We combined machine learning and long-term satellite observations to quantify aerosol fingerprints on tropical marine clouds, using degassing volcanic events in Hawaii as natural experiences, and found that cloud cover increased relatively by 50% in humid and stable atmosphere, leading to strong cooling radiative forcing.

    Research Briefing
  • There are no good models for the chemical evolution of the Earth’s surface over the planet’s lifetime, because models typically overlook the progressive build-up of carbonate rocks in the crust. A new model that includes this accumulation enables the reconstruction of major oxygen and temperature trends throughout Earth’s history.

    Research Briefing
  • A study using multiple satellite observations shows that the land-surface warming due to tropical forest loss is stronger than the cooling due to tropical forest gain. This effect should be included in Earth system models, particularly as tropical afforestation is considered to be a natural climate solution.

    Research Briefing
  • The causes of symmetrical changes in climate between the Northern and Southern Hemisphere are poorly understood. A geological reconstruction of Patagonian glacial extent reveals that changes in Pacific-wide atmospheric circulation (linked to variations in Earth’s orbit and teleconnections between hemispheres) may have led to nearly synchronous global ice sheet evolution.

    Research Briefing
  • In a part of the Apennines, where the Earth’s crust is thin and heat flow is high, production of CO2 from deep below the mountains dominates over near-surface weathering processes that consume this greenhouse gas. Ultimately, the magnitude of deep CO2 release tips the balance towards a landscape that is a net carbon emitter.

    Research Briefing
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Amendments & Corrections

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