Perspective

Subject Categories: Simulation and data analysis | Signal Transduction

Molecular Systems Biology 4 Article number: 192  doi:10.1038/msb.2008.30
Published online: 6 May 2008
Citation: Molecular Systems Biology 4:192

Understanding NF-kappaB signaling via mathematical modeling

Raymond Cheong1, Alexander Hoffmann2 & Andre Levchenko1

  1. Department of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
  2. Signaling Systems Laboratory, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA

Correspondence to: Andre Levchenko1 Department of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 208C Clark Hall, 3400 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21208, USA. Tel.: +1 410 516 5584; Fax: +1 410 516 6240; Email: alev@jhu.edu

Received 8 January 2008; Accepted 1 April 2008; Published online 6 May 2008

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Creation of derivative works is permitted but the resulting work may be distributed only under the same or similar licence to this one. This licence does not permit commercial exploitation without specific permission.

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Abstract

Mammalian inflammatory signaling, for which NF-kappaB is a principal transcription factor, is an exquisite example of how cellular signaling pathways can be regulated to produce different yet specific responses to different inflammatory insults. Mathematical models, tightly linked to experiment, have been instrumental in unraveling the forms of regulation in NF-kappaB signaling and their underlying molecular mechanisms. Our initial model of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module highlighted the role of negative feedback in the control of NF-kappaB temporal dynamics and gene expression. Subsequent studies sparked by this work have helped to characterize additional feedback loops, the input–output behavior of the module, crosstalk between multiple NF-kappaB-activating pathways, and NF-kappaB oscillations. We anticipate that computational techniques will enable further progress in the NF-kappaB field, and the signal transduction field in general, and we discuss potential upcoming developments.

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Introduction

The transcription factor NF-kappaB is a central inflammatory mediator, as it is essential for the majority of gene induction events in response to inflammatory cytokines as well as pathogen-derived substances. In unstimulated cells, NF-kappaB is bound to IkappaB proteins which hold it latent in the cytoplasm. Cellular stimulation with inflammatory agents results in IKK-mediated phosphorylation of IkappaB proteins, their ubiquitination, and proteasome-mediated proteolysis, allowing free NF-kappaB to accumulate in the nucleus and bind the cognate kappaB elements in target gene promoters (Box 1; reviewed in Hayden and Ghosh, 2008). Regulation of NF-kappaB is important for the physiology of inflammation and immune activation, and misregulation of NF-kappaB activity has been identified as a major culprit of chronic inflammatory diseases and cancer. As such understanding NF-kappaB regulation has been a major focus of biochemical, mouse genetic, and human disease studies since its discovery more than 20 years ago (Sen and Baltimore, 1986).

Major components of many signaling pathways that activate NF-kappaB have been mapped, and this information is often summarized in pathway diagrams (e.g. Box 1). However, the dynamics of molecular level regulation are insufficiently captured by the static representation inherent in such diagrams. Mathematical models, on the other hand, can quantitatively describe how changes in signaling occur in space and time, enabling exploration of signaling pathways in silico (Box 2). The resulting insights can provide a theoretical framework and generate testable predictions for subsequent experimental studies. Experimental results likewise inform the development and refinement of mathematical models with predictive power. In this way, our understanding of cell signaling processes can be progressively advanced (Kearns and Hoffmann, 2008).

Here, we review how mathematical modeling has impacted our understanding of signaling through NF-kappaB pathways. First, we summarize our original mathematical model, which is the predecessor of many models used to study the regulation of NF-kappaB dynamics (Table I). Then, we describe how mathematical and computational models have been instrumental in increasing our understanding of the control of NF-kappaB signaling. We also discuss the emerging areas of research in which mathematical models may shed light.


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The original mathematical model of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module

NF-kappaB activation involves stimulus-induced degradation of its inhibitor IkappaB, which allows for its translocation to the nucleus. The earliest attempt to capture the dynamics of these events in mathematical equations was aimed at understanding how NF-kappaB translocation and IkappaB association/dissociation rate constants keep the majority of NF-kappaB in an inactive state in resting cells (Carlotti et al, 2000). However, this work did not result in a model that allowed for computational simulations of the full NF-kappaB activation and attenuation process.

Our interest was to understand the differential functions, if any, of the three IkappaB isoforms (IkappaBalpha, IkappaBbeta, and IkappaBalt epsilon) that modulate inflammatory activation of NF-kappaB. Biochemical studies had shown that all three sequester p65–p50, the predominant NF-kappaB dimer, are degraded in response to stimulation with tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFalpha) (Ghosh et al, 1998). Nevertheless, mice deficient in any one of these three IkappaB proteins have distinct phenotypes, indicating that the IkappaBs have different and non-overlapping functions (Beg et al, 1995; Klement et al, 1996; Memet et al, 1999; Mizgerd et al, 2002). As time-course data, derived from electrophoretic mobility shift assays (EMSAs), indicated that the three IkappaB proteins had differential dynamic control, we set out to construct a mathematical model of NF-kappaB signaling to study the specific roles of each IkappaB isoform in regulating the temporal control of NF-kappaB (Hoffmann et al, 2002).

We defined the scope of the model to be that of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module, in which the IKK activity as an input to the model determines the NF-kappaB activity over time. The model consisted of a system of differential equations based on mass action kinetics of the association/dissociation, synthesis/degradation, and translocation of IKK, IkappaB, and NF-kappaB species. Of the 34 independent model parameters, about one-third were derived from the extensive biochemical literature on NF-kappaB, especially for the parameters of the Michaelis–Menten reactions of IKK-mediated IkappaB phosphorylation. A further third, especially those parameters relating to species half-lives, transport rates, and IkappaB–NF-kappaB affinities, was constrained by published time-course data. We used a genetic approach to reduce the complexity of the signaling module to obtain the data used to fit the remaining parameters (primarily mRNA and protein synthesis). By mouse reverse genetics, we obtained cells deficient in any two of the three IkappaB isoforms, thereby enabling us to parameter fit three reduced models each containing only one IkappaB isoform that were then combined into a wild-type cell model.

Exploration of the model with computational simulations resulted in two major insights. First, it described how differential functions of the IkappaB isoforms could give rise to strikingly different NF-kappaB dynamics in genetically reduced cells. The role of IkappaBalpha, whose expression is induced by NF-kappaB, was to provide negative feedback. This was aptly demonstrated by pronounced oscillations in NF-kappaB activity in cells lacking the other isoforms (Figure 1A). The role of IkappaBbeta and IkappaBalt epsilon was to dampen these oscillations. When all three isoforms were present, the NF-kappaB response was biphasic, with an initial NF-kappaB activity rising and falling within approx1 h, followed by a late activation phase characterized by a steady intermediate level of activity (Figure 1B). Second, we explored the 'temporal dose–response' characteristics of the NF-kappaB signaling module by simulating the NF-kappaB response duration for different stimulus durations. The model predicted that the module would generate the initial phase of 60 min of NF-kappaB activity even with much shorter stimuli, while only for longer lasting stimuli (>1 h) did the responses have durations proportional to the input duration. This prediction was confirmed by using EMSA on wild-type cells. Moreover, we found experimentally that the initial phase of NF-kappaB activity is sufficient to drive the expression of a subset of inflammatory genes, while others require longer lasting NF-kappaB activity. Hence, the functions of IkappaBalpha, IkappaBbeta, and IkappaBalt epsilon combine to allow the signaling module to distinguish between short and longer lasting stimuli. A subsequent study of gene expression in single cells also found that some target genes require longer lasting TNFalpha stimulation than others (Nelson et al, 2004).

Figure 1
Figure 1 :  Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

Schematic of NF-kappaB dynamics in response to persistent TNFalpha. (A) Oscillatory time course of NF-kappaB in response to TNFalpha in cells whose only classical IkappaB is IkappaBalpha (see also BioModels database http://www.ebi.ac.uk/biomodels, accession ID BIOMD0000000139). (B) Characteristic biphasic time course of NF-kappaB signaling in response to TNFalpha in various wild-type cells. NF-kappaB activity peaks around 30 min, drops to basal levels around 1 h, and rises to an intermediate level thereafter (see also BioModels accession ID BIOMD0000000140).

Full figure and legend (165K)Figures & Tables index

Two of the more significant advances provided by our study were that temporal dynamics of NF-kappaB help control the expression of inflammatory genes, and that mathematical modeling could be extremely useful in understanding the molecular mechanisms that regulate NF-kappaB dynamics. This spurred a number of subsequent modeling studies designed to further understand the regulation of NF-kappaB dynamics, which we review below. Some of these studies were primarily theoretical in nature and pointed to interesting potential dynamical properties of NF-kappaB signaling, whereas in others, modeling was tightly integrated with experiment leading to a plethora of unexpected insights into the mechanisms that control NF-kappaB dynamics.

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Mechanisms that control NF-kappaB dynamics revealed by mathematical models

In this section, we highlight how mathematical and computational models have been applied with impressive success to direct or illuminate experimental studies to characterize additional feedback loops involving NF-kappaB, IKK dynamics, crosstalk between inflammatory and non-inflammatory inducers of NF-kappaB activity, and NF-kappaB oscillations.

Multiple feedback loops

The original mathematical model of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module revealed that NF-kappaB-induced expression of IkappaBalpha provides negative feedback and that this feedback is a major determinant of NF-kappaB temporal dynamics. Subsequent studies, integrating experimental analysis and computational models, have shown that additional feedback mechanisms also control NF-kappaB activity. One such loop involves IkappaBalt epsilon, which like IkappaBalpha, is expressed after TNFalpha stimulation in an NF-kappaB-dependent manner (Tian et al, 2005). Unlike IkappaBalpha, however, IkappaBalt epsilon transcription is delayed by about 45 min relative to the onset of nuclear NF-kappaB activity, as revealed by cells deficient in IkappaBalpha and IkappaBbeta (Kearns et al, 2006). Intuitively, delayed IkappaBalt epsilon induction might provide oscillatory feedback in antiphase with IkappaBalpha feedback, which combine to provide steady overall levels of IkappaB with concomitant steady NF-kappaB activity. A computational model derived from the original model encapsulating this idea predicted that the duration of NF-kappaB activity in response to a transient (45 min) TNFalpha stimulation would be prolonged in cells deficient in both IkappaBalpha and IkappaBalt epsilon, compared to cells deficient in only one of these isoforms, or to wild-type cells. This prediction, confirmed by EMSA, indicated that IkappaBalt epsilon is capable of providing post-induction repression of NF-kappaB. Likewise, the expression of inflammatory genes is prolonged in the ikappaBalpha-/-ikappaBalt epsilon-/- cells compared to ikappaBalpha-/- and wild-type cells, providing functional evidence for the importance of IkappaBalt epsilon in terminating the inflammatory response (Kearns et al, 2006). Overall, the negative feedbacks provided by IkappaBalpha and IkappaBalt epsilon appear to work in tandem to ensure rapid post-induction repression of NF-kappaB, while suppressing sustained oscillations, thus solving a classic shortcoming of simple linear control systems (Coughanowr, 1991).

In addition to intracellular feedback due to IkappaBalpha and IkappaBalt epsilon, extracellular feedback might arise through autocrine signaling. A prime example of this phenomenon relative to the NF-kappaB pathway was found while exploring cell responses to lipopolysaccharide (LPS). LPS is a component of bacterial cell walls that serves as an important signal of infection activating two intracellular pathways that branch at the receptor level, respectively dependent on MyD88 and Trif. The NF-kappaB activity in response to persistent LPS is normally steady over time, but it is oscillatory when either the Trif- or MyD88-dependent pathway is isolated by knockout of MyD88 and Trif, respectively (Covert et al, 2005). Reminiscent of IkappaBalpha and IkappaBalt epsilon, the Trif- and MyD88-dependent oscillations are out of phase. Computational modeling based on the original model indicated that the reason that the oscillations are out of phase is that the Trif- and MyD88-dependent pathways have similar activation kinetics, but the Trif-dependent pathway is activated 30 min after the MyD88-dependent pathway. A search for the biochemical mechanism underlying this delay uncovered an autocrine signaling loop. Specifically, the MyD88-dependent pathway was found to lead to fast, direct activation of NF-kappaB, whereas the Trif-dependent pathway resulted in slow indirect NF-kappaB activation via TNFalpha production, secretion, and subsequent autocrine signaling (Figure 2). Interestingly, the same autocrine mechanism ensures that NF-kappaB activity is steady not only in response to persistent LPS but also to transient LPS stimulation as well (Werner et al, 2005).

Figure 2
Figure 2 :  Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

Feedback loops in NF-kappaB signaling. IKK may be activated by the TNFalpha signaling pathway as well as the MyD88-dependent arm of the LPS signaling pathway. IKK leads to NF-kappaB activity, which is regulated by a negative feedback loop involving IkappaB (described in detail in Box 1), as depicted in the lower center. TNFalpha-induced NF-kappaB activity also leads to A20 expression, and subsequent decrease in IKK activation. Also, the Trif-dependent arm of the LPS-signaling pathway activates the transcription factor interferon regulatory factor-3 (IRF3), leading to TNFalpha expression and subsequent autocrine signaling. Thus, A20 and TNF form feedback loops that regulate NF-kappaB activity.

Full figure and legend (110K)Figures & Tables index

These discoveries suggest that mathematical modeling will be useful in understanding many other potential feedbacks involved in the regulation of NF-kappaB. For example, the expression of the third inhibitor isoform, IkappaBbeta, is weakly upregulated by TNFalpha (Kearns et al, 2006) and, although the removal of this inhibitor does not unmask oscillations, some more subtle signaling defects are likely to be present. The NF-kappaB subunit RelB (Bren et al, 2001), the p50 subunit precursor p105 (Ten et al, 1992), and the p52 subunit precursor p100 (Lombardi et al, 1995), are all potentially expressed in response to TNFalpha, which could result in a change in NF-kappaB dimer composition that could in turn affect all other transcriptionally mediated feedback loops. Likewise, NF-kappaB may be subject to a wide variety of extracellular feedback mechanisms, especially through autocrine signaling. NF-kappaB target genes include the cytokines TNFalpha (Collart et al, 1990; Shakhov et al, 1990), many interleukins (Pahl, 1999), and lymphotoxin-beta (LTbeta) (Kuprash et al, 1996), all of which are direct activators of NF-kappaB. Well-defined computational models should prove useful in unraveling such complex feedback-rich signaling systems, addressing among other questions the roles of individual feedbacks and the need for all the feedbacks to be in place.

Control of NF-kappaB dynamics through IKK

We defined the input of our original mathematical model of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module to be IKK, rather than TNFalpha or other extracellular ligands. This raised the question of how IKK dynamics control the downstream NF-kappaB dynamics and how IKK activity itself is regulated.

It is apparent that IKK dynamics are important in controlling the timing of NF-kappaB activity. Experimentally, we found that the initial phase of NF-kappaB activity invariantly lasted 60 min in response to different concentrations of TNFalpha (Cheong et al, 2006), paralleling the response to different durations of exposure to TNFalpha (Hoffmann et al, 2002). We found that the original pathway model failed to reproduce this behavior, despite an exhaustive attempt to refit the parameter values. This suggested that the model was incomplete, and perhaps omitted an important biochemical interaction needed to explain the observed dynamics. We surmised that IKK, whose regulation was not represented in detail in the original model, played an important role in determining the NF-kappaB dynamics. By examining the model's responses to various IKK time courses, we found that the fixed duration of the initial phase of NF-kappaB activity could be explained if the IKK activity was sharply attenuated. Specifically, the model predicted that at any TNFalpha dose, the IKK activity rises quickly upon exposure to TNFalpha, peaks after 5–10 min, and drops to a low but positive level after another 10–20 min. Experiments utilizing IKK assays validated this prediction (Cheong et al, 2006), indicating that the specific IKK dynamics are essential for maintaining a normal biphasic NF-kappaB response. Importantly, this study showed how incongruities between models and experiments can be exploited to further understand the signaling system of interest.

More generally, the NF-kappaB dynamics are sensitive to the timing and duration of the IKK activity. As discussed above, both in model and experiment, a peaked IKK profile, i.e. one that rises quickly then falls quickly, generates a transient NF-kappaB response of fixed duration. In contrast, an IKK profile that plateaus, i.e. rises slowly to a sustained level, results in a delayed rise to a sustained level of NF-kappaB activity. Importantly, these different IKK dynamics help enable stimulus-specific responses (Figure 3). For example, the peaked IKK profile results from transient TNFalpha stimulation, whereas the sustained IKK activity can result from transient LPS stimulation. Furthermore, these different IKK profiles, which in turn result in the different NF-kappaB dynamics, allow for some genes to be specifically expressed in response to LPS and others to be specifically expressed in response to TNFalpha, even though the expression of these genes are all regulated by NF-kappaB (Werner et al, 2005).

Figure 3
Figure 3 :  Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

Schematic of stimulus-specific NF-kappaB responses. Both TNFalpha and LPS activate NF-kappaB through IKK, yet the NF-kappaB responses to each are different. In response to a 45-min pulse of TNFalpha, NF-kappaB activity rises quickly then terminates after approximately 60 min (bottom right). In contrast, in response to a 45-min pulse of LPS, NF-kappaB activity rises slowly over 2 h (bottom left). The NF-kappaB response correlates with the IKK activity profile, which is highly peaked in response to TNFalpha (upper right) but sustained in response to LPS (upper left). This illustrates how IKK helps to mediate stimulus-specific NF-kappaB responses.

Full figure and legend (154K)Figures & Tables index

One important determinant of the IKK dynamics is A20, which inhibits IKK activation by modifying the ubiquitination pattern of a subunit of the TNF receptor complex (Wertz et al, 2004). The expression of A20 itself is induced by TNFalpha in an NF-kappaB-dependent manner (Figure 2). This fact led to the development of a version of the original model that suggested that A20-mediated negative feedback is sufficient to produce the sharply peaked IKK activity profile resulting from persistent TNFalpha stimulation (Lipniacki et al, 2004). However, initial experiments could not verify this prediction (Cheong et al, 2006) and the mechanism that leads to a rapid attenuation of TNFalpha-induced IKK activity remains an open question (Delhase et al, 1999; Cheong et al, 2006; Schomer-Miller et al, 2006). Nonetheless, A20 is clearly important in inhibiting late IKK activity and is required for the drop in NF-kappaB activity that separates the early and late phases in response to TNFalpha (Lee et al, 2000; Werner et al, 2005). Computational models thus point to the gap of current knowledge about A20 and IKK regulation in general as a barrier to further understanding of NF-kappaB dynamics, and modeling work in this area should prove fruitful for additional studies integrating models and experiments.

Crosstalk between the IkappaB–NF-kappaB module and other pathways

NF-kappaB is activated by numerous inflammatory stimuli, such as TNFalpha and LPS as discussed above, and also by many non-inflammatory stimuli (Hayden and Ghosh, 2004). One such stimulus is LTbeta, a cytokine implicated in the normal development of lymph nodes. Unlike classical inflammatory stimuli, LTbeta-mediated activation of NF-kappaB does not occur through the degradation of NF-kappaB-bound IkappaB (Beinke and Ley, 2004). Rather, it occurs through degradation of the inhibitory domain of NF-kappaB-bound p100, an NF-kappaB protein precursor that, as a homodimeric complex, has IkappaB-like function. Furthermore, p100 is an NF-kappaB target gene whose expression can be stimulated by TNFalpha, leading to potential crosstalk between the TNFalpha and LTbeta pathways. Specifically, an expanded version of the original model that included the classical IkappaBs and p100 predicted that exposing cells to TNFalpha leads to a greater percentage of NF-kappaB molecules bound to p100 instead of to the classical IkappaBs, thereby priming the cells to subsequent LTbeta exposure. Indeed, experimentally, LTbeta-induced NF-kappaB activity can be increased approx3-fold in TNF-primed versus naïve cells, with concomitant increases in expression of NF-kappaB-responsive genes (Basak et al, 2007).

Another non-inflammatory activator of NF-kappaB is ultraviolet (UV) irradiation. One of the effects of UV irradiation is bulk arrest of translation in a dose-dependent manner, which inhibits basal and induced synthesis of IkappaB. We recently showed, that although NF-kappaB is liberated when free IkappaB and NF-kappaB-bound IkappaB are gradually turned over, the NF-kappaB signaling module is actually remarkably robust to such metabolic perturbations (O'Dea et al, 2008). However, UV can dramatically amplify the response to simultaneous inflammatory stimulation. This synergy has implications for how inflammation can enhance the effects of cancer-associated stresses (O'Dea et al, 2008).

NF-kappaB can also be activated indirectly by signaling pathways that do not principally involve NF-kappaB. For example, TNFalpha, through activation of IKK and NF-kappaB, can induce the secretion of transforming growth factor-alpha (TGFalpha), leading to autocrine stimulation of the epidermal growth factor receptor. Taken together, TNFalpha and TGFalpha induce production of interleukin-1, providing an autocrine signal that can bring about a second episode of IKK and NF-kappaB activity (Janes et al, 2006). This helps to explain why, for example, IKK activity can be better predicted computationally from the combination of growth factor and inflammatory signaling data versus inflammatory signaling data alone (Janes et al, 2005, 2006).

NF-kappaB oscillations

Our analyses of the IkappaB–NF-kappaB signaling module concluded that oscillations in NF-kappaB activity, primarily driven by negative feedback through IkappaBalpha, underlie biphasic NF-kappaB dynamics. These oscillations are largely hidden in wild-type cells by the effects of IkappaBbeta and IkappaBalt epsilon (Hoffmann et al, 2002), and oscillations do not seem to alter gene expression programs when compared to the biphasic response (Barken et al, 2005), raising doubts about the functional significance of oscillations. Nonetheless, the apparent mathematical and biochemical complexity underlying the existence and particular shape of these oscillations intrinsically begs the question of how to generate and control them. These questions have so far been primarily addressed through computational analysis.

Negative feedback is a common way to achieve oscillatory behavior. Indeed, a simple negative feedback system comprised of two components that interact linearly is sufficient to generate oscillations (Hoffmann et al, 2002), but it is important to note that this abstraction is fundamentally different from the IkappaB–NF-kappaB module. Linear systems do not require persistent stimulation to exhibit undamped oscillations whereas the module does. Also, the mathematical dependency between individual parameters and oscillation frequency (e.g. monotonic relationship versus existence of an optimum) does not translate even qualitatively from the linear system to the module (R Cheong and A Levchenko, unpublished observations). Thus, components in the module and their nonlinear interactions play important roles in controlling and shaping NF-kappaB oscillations. Different aspects of NF-kappaB oscillations, such as the timing and amplitude of peaks and troughs, are sensitive to different parameters in the original model, as measured by sensitivity coefficients (an analog of metabolic control coefficients). Some parameters are predicted to be broadly important for nearly all aspects of oscillations, and they all relate to reactions involving IkappaBalpha (Ihekwaba et al, 2004; Joo et al, 2007). These parameters cooperate in a complex, nonlinear way to modulate oscillations (Ihekwaba et al, 2005), and overall, their effects on the timing and amplitude of the initial peak can be rationalized based on their contribution to total IkappaB levels and the speed of the feedback loop (Cheong et al, 2006; Mathes et al, 2008; Moss et al, 2008). Interestingly, the highly sensitive parameters correlate well with a minimal subset of reactions from the original model that sustain oscillations (Box 2). Additionally, a condensed model involving only NF-kappaB, IkappaBalpha, and IkappaBalpha mRNA still oscillates (Krishna et al, 2006), and in principle, a model with only NF-kappaB and IkappaBalpha with transcriptional delay can as well (Monk, 2003). Taken together, these theoretical perspectives indicate that the IkappaBalpha portion of the module is indeed the strongest generator of oscillations.

Interest in oscillations was further spurred by observations in which the NF-kappaB activity spiked repetitively ('spiky oscillations') in cells overexpressing fluorescent protein-tagged NF-kappaB or IkappaBalpha, with the timing and frequency of spikes varying from cell to cell (Nelson et al, 2004). This is distinctly different than the biphasic dynamics observed in the population average (Hoffmann et al, 2002), and reconciling the two has become an important goal of mathematical analysis. Our statistical analysis of NF-kappaB activity measured by immunocytochemistry in single wild-type cells indicates that biphasic population dynamics is easily distinguished from an ensemble of individually oscillating cells, regardless of the mechanism underlying spiky oscillations (Barken et al, 2005). The intuitive conclusion, also supported by computational analysis, was that overexpression of NF-kappaB or IkappaBalpha components alters the oscillatory potential of the module. Others have attempted to attribute spiky oscillations and their variations from cell to cell to fluctuations in the rates of the chemical reactions comprising the pathway. Full stochastic simulation of a module in which the only IkappaB species is IkappaBalpha indicates that intrinsic biochemical randomness results in minimal deviation from the deterministic NF-kappaB response unless transcription and translation rates have been badly estimated (Hayot and Jayaprakash, 2006). Rather, fluctuations in extrinsic factors, such as the number of molecules of active IKK or NF-kappaB, need to be invoked to reconcile single live cell and average responses. However, these conclusions are at odds with simulations of other IkappaBalpha-only models (Lipniacki et al, 2006, 2007), in which only a few biochemical reactions need to be stochastic to generate distributions of responses similar to those obtained in live cells. Differences in parameter values or the inclusion of an A20 feedback loop in the latter models (Lipniacki et al, 2004) may explain these differing conclusions. In any case, at minimum, accurate measurements of IkappaB transcription and translation rates are needed to test the role of stochasticity in individualized cell responses.

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Emerging developments in mathematical modeling of NF-kappaB signaling

As seen above, computationally oriented studies have led to numerous and varied insights into the molecular mechanisms that regulate NF-kappaB dynamics and inflammatory gene expression, and will surely continue to do so in the future. In this section, we highlight other aspects of NF-kappaB biology for which mathematical modeling is likely to play an important role.

Information encoding and decoding

Secretion of NF-kappaB-activating cytokines like TNFalpha is one way in which one cell can communicate to another and alter its behavior. One general question is what information is conveyed by secreted signals, how this information is encoded by the signaling cell, and how it is interpreted by the receiving cell. The unique temporal dynamics of NF-kappaB responses to TNFalpha provides a model system to address the principles underlying cell–cell communication.

For TNFalpha, it is possible to use changes in its concentration over time to transmit information about the distance between the signaling and receiving cells. Specifically, in a local infection, a macrophage will secrete a brief pulse of TNFalpha in a self-limited manner. Because of the effect of diffusion, nearby cells experience temporal patterns of changes in TNFalpha concentration that depend on the separation distance: the concentration experienced by a cell drops exponentially and while the duration of exposure to the cytokine increases modestly with distance. Experimentally, we observed that NF-kappaB is able to respond to amounts of TNFalpha that vary over several orders of magnitude, including very small ones. A model incorporating these observations, therefore, predicted that cells in a wide region around a local infection would mount an inflammatory defense. Moreover, because the amplitude of NF-kappaB activity scales according to the logarithm of TNFalpha concentration, the model also predicts that NF-kappaB responses drop roughly linearly with distance. Thus, cells near the infection would mount a vigorous inflammatory defense, whereas cells further away would have a tempered response, suggesting that the TNFalpha–NF-kappaB pathway is optimized so that cells respond in a way commensurate with their distance from danger (Cheong et al, 2006).

We anticipate that mathematical and computational models tightly coupled to experimental analysis will be indispensable in further understanding the information processing characteristics of NF-kappaB pathways. Because modeling to date has been very successful in demonstrating how dynamic IKK signals are transformed into dynamic NF-kappaB signals by the IkappaB–NF-kappaB module (Werner et al, 2005; Cheong et al, 2006), we especially look forward to progress in understanding events upstream of IKK or downstream of NF-kappaB. For example, multiple cytokine signaling pathways converge on IKK, but how each transmits information through IKK is poorly understood, as is how multiple cytokines convey information simultaneously through the same module. On the downstream end, different NF-kappaB-responsive genes are expressed after different durations of NF-kappaB activity (Hoffmann et al, 2002; Barken et al, 2005), but the basis of these differential responses is unknown. Combining pathway models with mathematical analysis of promoters and enhancers is likely to shed light on this issue (Krishna et al, 2006).

Rational drug targeting

NF-kappaB is involved in numerous physiologic responses, such as inflammation and apoptosis, and is implicated in myriad diseases like arthritis, autoimmune and inflammatory disorders, and cancer (Kumar et al, 2004). As such, numerous anti-inflammatory compounds are under development to target NF-kappaB (Karin et al, 2004), and mathematical models are beginning to be used to understand how these potential drugs affect NF-kappaB signaling.

One initial study in this direction examined the effect of three drug classes—inhibitors of IKK, the proteosome, and nuclear import machinery—on NF-kappaB oscillations in response to TNFalpha (Sung and Simon, 2004). The effect of each class was simulated by altering the appropriate kinetic rate parameters in a simplified version of the original model containing only one IkappaB-like species. In this way, NF-kappaB oscillations were predicted to be disrupted with high doses of IKK or proteosome inhibitors, or low doses of nuclear import inhibitors. Similarly, another study predicted that an IKK inhibitor dampens the NF-kappaB response to interleukin-1 (Ihekwaba et al, 2007). These types of simulations could potentially be used to further understand drug specificity or the effect of multiple drugs applied simultaneously.

In addition, drug-targeting studies may benefit from extending this idea further, that is, by performing a 'computational drug screen.' Each kinetic rate parameter in the IkappaB–NF-kappaB module represents a potential target for modulation by a drug, so we are studying how sensitive the biphasic NF-kappaB response to TNFalpha is to alterations in each parameter. For example, we find that the initial transient phase but not the late sustained phase of NF-kappaB activity is robust to variations in the values of the parameters that control the half-life of IkappaBalpha (D Barken et al. in preparation). This suggests that even drugs that target reactions within the central NF-kappaB signaling module may in fact have selective effects, for example, by inhibiting prolonged inflammation without completely abrogating acute responses. This surprising possibility would be difficult to foresee by qualitative reasoning alone, but quantitative predictions provided by modeling are crucial in rationally identifying rate-limiting reactions for specific phases of the NF-kappaB temporal profile. We anticipate that similar methods will prove useful in rational selection of drug targets to mediate highly specific therapeutic effects.

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Conclusion

Signal transduction pathways are dedicated sets of chemical reactions responsible for detection, processing, and delivery of the information about changes in the cell environment to the 'decision centers' of a cell. Unlike wires and antennas used in human-built devices designed for information transfer, cells are limited to using chemistry as the basis for the sophisticated and robust passing of signals within complex and convoluted intracellular spaces. The underlying complexity may thus be foreign to our anthropomorphic attempts to confer the ideas of wires, transistors, and resistors to sophisticated liquidity of biological processes. Nevertheless, as much as the behavior of electrical circuits can be captured by mathematical equations, so too can the intricacies of signal transduction be understood through computational techniques.

A myriad of soluble signaling molecules, coupled to each other through feedback loops and pathway crosstalk, impinge upon NF-kappaB. The regulation and dynamics of the resulting signaling network are rich and complex and their underlying mechanisms are not immediately transparent. Mathematical modeling has cut through the haze by helping to summarize experimental observations and develop a deep and coherent understanding of the NF-kappaB signaling. Such computational approaches are essential for continued advancements in the field of signal transduction, as exemplified by the profound qualitative and quantitative insights obtained thus far for NF-kappaB signaling.

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