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| Open AccessClimate variability modulates western US ozone air quality in spring via deep stratospheric intrusions
Deep stratospheric ozone intrusions can elevate western US ground-level ozone to unhealthy concentrations, but the factors driving interannual variability are poorly understood. Here, the authors combine observations and numerical simulations showing a link between intrusion events and strong La Niña winters.
- Meiyun Lin
- , Arlene M. Fiore
- & Harald E. Rieder
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Article
| Open AccessInfrared identification of the Criegee intermediates syn- and anti-CH3CHOO, and their distinct conformation-dependent reactivity
Criegee intermediates—formed by the breakdown of alkanes in the atmosphere—are difficult to identify in the gas phase. Here, the authors report the infrared spectrum of the Criegee intermediate CH3CHOO and identify both the syn- and anti-conformers.
- Hui-Yu Lin
- , Yu-Hsuan Huang
- & Yuan-Pern Lee
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Evidence for photochemical production of reactive oxygen species in desert soils
Intense solar radiation on desiccated desert soils can cause a short circuit in biogeochemical cycles leading to the release of CO2and nitrogen oxides. Here, the authors show that this can be linked to the production of soil superoxide radicals, which then produce peroxides and hydroxyl radicals.
- Christos D. Georgiou
- , Henry J. Sun
- & Irene Margiolaki
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Coupled reversion and stream-hyporheic exchange processes increase environmental persistence of trenbolone metabolites
Cattle growth hormone metabolites found in agricultural runoff are primarily removed from surface waters by photodegradation. Here, Ward et al. develop a model of stream transport, finding reversion in perpetually dark hyporheic zones increases environmental persistence of these endocrine disruptors.
- Adam S. Ward
- , David M. Cwiertny
- & Colleen C. Brehm
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Subterranean atmospheres may act as daily methane sinks
Despite methane’s (CH4) importance as a greenhouse gas, much remains unknown regarding CH4 sources and sinks. Here, the authors conduct geochemical monitoring and analyses of several cave systems in Spain and show that subterranean atmospheres may be acting as daily sinks for atmospheric CH4.
- Angel Fernandez-Cortes
- , Soledad Cuezva
- & Sergio Sanchez-Moral
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Article
| Open AccessExposure age and ice-sheet model constraints on Pliocene East Antarctic ice sheet dynamics
The behaviour of Antarctic ice sheets during warm climates of the past is poorly understood. Here, the authors combine cosmogenic nuclide exposure ages and numerical simulations in an effort to assess changes in East Antarctic ice sheet thickness since the Pliocene.
- Masako Yamane
- , Yusuke Yokoyama
- & Hiroyuki Matsuzaki
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Article
| Open AccessLeaf onset in the northern hemisphere triggered by daytime temperature
Recent warming has significantly advanced leaf onset in the northern hemisphere. Here, the authors show asymmetric effects of daytime and nighttime temperature change on the timing of leaf onset.
- Shilong Piao
- , Jianguang Tan
- & Josep Peñuelas
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Article
| Open AccessSkilful multi-year predictions of tropical trans-basin climate variability
Sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific can influence global atmospheric circulation, yet prediction of this atmospheric signal is limited to less than 1 year. Here, the authors present observational and modelling evidence for multi-year predictability.
- Yoshimitsu Chikamoto
- , Axel Timmermann
- & Fei-Fei Jin
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Article
| Open AccessSeasonality in submesoscale turbulence
Recent numerical simulations suggest that the fronts that develop along the rims of ocean eddies are stronger in winter than in summer. Here, the authors present observational confirmation, which informs how these frontal flows are formed.
- Jörn Callies
- , Raffaele Ferrari
- & Jonathan Gula
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Article
| Open AccessConnecting the oxidation of soot to its redox cycling abilities
Although it is known that soot particles are emitted in large quantities to the atmosphere, our understanding of their environmental effects is limited. Here, the authors study hydrocarbon soot particles during oxidation by ozone, suggesting that this process leads to increases in redox activity.
- María Antiñolo
- , Megan D. Willis
- & Jonathan P.D. Abbatt
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Article
| Open AccessPlant macrofossil evidence for an early onset of the Holocene summer thermal maximum in northernmost Europe
A geographical disequilibrium between climate and tree populations may bias northern European pollen-based temperature reconstructions for the early Holocene. Here, the authors compare pollen- and macrofossil-based temperature reconstructions, showing that macrofossils reveal warmer July temperatures.
- M. Väliranta
- , J. S. Salonen
- & H. H. Birks
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Marine sequestration of carbon in bacterial metabolites
The microbial carbon pump is an important pathway for marine carbon sequestration, yet the chemical complexity and stability of persistent molecules remain enigmatic. Here, the authors use bioassay experiments to investigate the complexity and refractory nature of bacterial dissolved organic matter.
- Oliver J. Lechtenfeld
- , Norbert Hertkorn
- & Ronald Benner
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Article
| Open AccessLocal cooling and warming effects of forests based on satellite observations
Local climatic effects of forests remain poorly understood due to the coarse spatial resolution of models and field observations. Here, the authors use global satellite data to analyse the spatiotemporal cooling or warming effects of tropical, temperate and boreal forests on climate.
- Yan Li
- , Maosheng Zhao
- & Shuangcheng Li
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Bidecadal North Atlantic ocean circulation variability controlled by timing of volcanic eruptions
While present in palaeoclimate records, the drivers behind 20-year climate variability are poorly understood. Here, using climate simulations and in situand palaeo data, the authors present a possible link between volcanic eruptions, Great Salinity Anomalies and the Atlantic overturning circulation.
- Didier Swingedouw
- , Pablo Ortega
- & Roland Séférian
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A Bayesian modelling framework for tornado occurrences in North America
Tornadoes are one of nature’s most hazardous phenomena, yet prognostic tools for tornado occurrence are lacking. Here, the authors use Bayesian inference techniques to evaluate the spatiotemporal relationship between atmospheric variables and tornado activity in North America.
- Vincent Y.S. Cheng
- , George B. Arhonditsis
- & Heather Auld
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Increased sensitivity to climate change in disturbed ecosystems
The role of successional state in determining ecosystem sensitivity to climate change is largely unknown. Here, the authors subject seven European shrublands to moderate warming and drought conditions over 14 years and show that responsiveness is associated with the dynamic state of the ecosystem.
- György Kröel-Dulay
- , Johannes Ransijn
- & Josep Penuelas
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Glacial ice and atmospheric forcing on the Mertz Glacier Polynya over the past 250 years
The Mertz Glacier Polynya—a site of sea ice production and Antarctic Bottom Water formation—was strongly impacted following the calving of a massive iceberg in 2010. Here, the authors present a 250-year long sea ice reconstruction from the region and present evidence for a ~70-year calving cyclicity.
- P. Campagne
- , Xavier Crosta
- & G. Massé
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Article
| Open AccessTropical cyclone rainfall area controlled by relative sea surface temperature
The rainfall rate of tropical cyclones is expected to increase under a warmer climate, yet likely changes in rainfall area remain unknown. Here, the authors combine satellite data and model simulations and show that rainfall area is dependent on relative sea surface temperatures.
- Yanluan Lin
- , Ming Zhao
- & Minghua Zhang
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Article
| Open AccessReconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall
The sign of soil moisture–precipitation feedback has been strongly debated. Here, the authors show that rain tends to fall where soils are drier than their surroundings, but on days with overall wet and heterogeneous conditions, explaining the apparent contradictions between recent studies.
- Benoit P. Guillod
- , Boris Orlowsky
- & Sonia I. Seneviratne
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Ocean currents generate large footprints in marine palaeoclimate proxies
An underlying assumption of palaeoceanographic proxies is that they are representative of the water properties directly above their site of deposition. Here, the authors combine high-resolution particle tracking simulations and sedimentary proxy data to challenge this assumption.
- Erik van Sebille
- , Paolo Scussolini
- & Rainer Zahn
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| Open AccessNorth Atlantic storm track changes during the Last Glacial Maximum recorded by Alpine speleothems
Insights into Late-Pleistocene Northern Hemisphere storm track variability are hampered by a lack of well-dated proxy records. Here, the authors present a precisely dated record of meteoric precipitation between 30 and 14.7 ka, and show that obliquity may have played a vital role in Alpine glacier advance.
- Marc Luetscher
- , R. Boch
- & W. Müller
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An extreme event of sea-level rise along the Northeast coast of North America in 2009–2010
Extreme sea level rises are a threat to coastal communities, but their cause, in terms of seasonal or interannual time scales, has received little attention. Here, the authors combine observational and model data to show that one such rise in 2009–10 was caused by a 30% downturn in the Atlantic overturning circulation.
- Paul B. Goddard
- , Jianjun Yin
- & Shaoqing Zhang
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Article
| Open AccessWeak linkage between the heaviest rainfall and tallest storms
Conventionally, the heaviest rainfall is associated with the most intense storms, yet this relationship remains untested. Here, Hamada et al. analyse 11 years of radar observations from the topics and subtropics, and conclude that the heaviest rainfall is most commonly associated with less intense convection.
- Atsushi Hamada
- , Yukari N. Takayabu
- & Edward J. Zipser
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Refractory dissolved organic nitrogen accumulation in high-elevation lakes
Some nutrient budgets and fluxes in aquatic environments are poorly constrained. Here, the authors identify a novel pathway of reactive nitrogen sequestration in lakes of the Sierra Nevada, and investigate the relative reactivity of dissolved organic carbon.
- S.J. Goldberg
- , G.I. Ball
- & L.I. Aluwihare
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Article |
Trends and oscillations in the Indian summer monsoon rainfall over the last two millennia
Summertime rainfall over South Asia has declined in the last few decades, possibly due to human aerosols. Here, the authors present a record of Indian monsoon rainfall over the last two millennial and suggest that large natural variability may mask any forced changes in monsoon.
- Ashish Sinha
- , Gayatri Kathayat
- & R. L. Edwards
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Article |
Turnover time of fluorescent dissolved organic matter in the dark global ocean
The microbial carbon pump may play an important role in carbon sequestration in the deep ocean, but quantifying organic matter in this dark realm is difficult. Here, the authors use fluorescence spectroscopy to investigate the turnover time of fluorescent dissolved organic matter.
- Teresa S. Catalá
- , Isabel Reche
- & X. Antón Álvarez-Salgado
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Article |
Probing failure susceptibilities of earthquake faults using small-quake tidal correlations
Using tidal correlations as a predictive tool for earthquakes is controversial because of the size of the data set. This study examines correlations between small earthquakes and periodic fault stresses to build a simple predictive model for larger quakes that shows good agreement with observed trends.
- Braden A.W. Brinkman
- , Michael LeBlanc
- & Karin A. Dahmen
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Article
| Open AccessTropical Atlantic temperature seasonality at the end of the last interglacial
The last interglacial has been suggested as a test bed for models developed for future climate prediction, yet many climatic parameters remain unknown. Here, the authors present a precisely dated fossil coral and show that temperature seasonality in the southern Caribbean Sea 118 ka was similar to today.
- Thomas Felis
- , Cyril Giry
- & Sander R. Scheffers
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Northern-hemispheric differential warming is the key to understanding the discrepancies in the projected Sahel rainfall
Rainfall in the Sahel region has a decadal variability related to tropical sea-surface temperatures; however, models disagree regarding future changes in rainfall. Here the authors suggest that differential warming in the northern hemisphere is key to understanding this discrepancy.
- Jong-Yeon Park
- , Jürgen Bader
- & Daniela Matei
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Article
| Open AccessSize dependence of phase transitions in aerosol nanoparticles
Although phase transitions are fundamental for understanding aerosol particles, current models are insufficient to explain observations at the nanoscale. Here, the authors present a method for investigating droplets, suggesting particle size is a key determinant in the phase diagram of nanoparticles.
- Yafang Cheng
- , Hang Su
- & Ulrich Pöschl
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Aerosol generation by raindrop impact on soil
Suspended dust and sea salt are currently considered to be two major sources of environmental aerosol particles. Here, Joung and Buie report another mechanism of aerosol generation from rainfall impact on porous soil surfaces, whereby elements can be delivered to the air.
- Young Soo Joung
- & Cullen R. Buie
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Article |
Global pattern for the effect of climate and land cover on water yield
The effects of forests on water yield are uncertain, with some studies indicating that increased evapotranspiration reduces water yield and other showing that forests increase it. Here, the authors analyse published data to settle this debate, finding that afforestation has a positive effect on water yield.
- Guoyi Zhou
- , Xiaohua Wei
- & Yongxian Su
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Article |
Southern Hemisphere control on Australian monsoon variability during the late deglaciation and Holocene
The response of the Australian monsoon to deglacial climate change remains largely unknown due to a dearth of high-resolution climate records. Here, the authors reconstruct precipitation variability in four marine sediment cores and show that Australian monsoon variability closely followed Antarctic warming.
- Wolfgang Kuhnt
- , Ann Holbourn
- & Manfred Mudelsee
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231Pa/230Th evidence for a weakened but persistent Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during Heinrich Stadial 1
Marine sedimentary 231Pa/230Th ratios are considered a promising tool for the investigation of past modes of ocean circulation. Here, the authors present a compilation of new and existing Atlantic sedimentary 231Pa/230Th ratios and interpret these data in the context of abrupt cooling during Heinrich Stadial 1.
- Louisa I. Bradtmiller
- , Jerry F. McManus
- & Laura F. Robinson
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Article |
Propagation style controls lava–snow interactions
How volcanoes and the cryosphere interact is of interest for understanding hazard mitigation at ice-clad volcanoes and for paleoclimate studies. Here, the authors provide quantitative details from an eruption in Kamchatka, demonstrating that two kinds of lava, ′a′a and pahoehoe, produced different snowpack responses.
- B. R. Edwards
- , A. Belousov
- & M. Belousova
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Article
| Open AccessImpact of oceanic-scale interactions on the seasonal modulation of ocean dynamics by the atmosphere
Oceanic mesoscale eddies are thought to derive from internal ocean instability. Here, the authors present a high-resolution simulation of the North Pacific Ocean and show that mesoscale eddies are instead sustained by small-scale mixed-layer instabilities triggered by atmospheric forcing in winter.
- Hideharu Sasaki
- , Patrice Klein
- & Yoshikazu Sasai
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Article
| Open AccessEarly warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model
The ability to predict a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is widely desired, but problematic. Here, using a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation mode, the authors show that early warning signs can be detected 250 years in advance.
- Chris A. Boulton
- , Lesley C. Allison
- & Timothy M. Lenton
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Isotopic constraints on biogeochemical cycling of copper in the ocean
Trace elements and their isotopes are powerful as tracers in the modern ocean and proxies for oceans of the past, although there are limited data for elements such as copper. Here, the authors present copper isotope data from both seawater and rainwater, providing insight into marine biogeochemical cycling.
- Shotaro Takano
- , Masaharu Tanimizu
- & Yoshiki Sohrin
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A 2,000-year reconstruction of the rain-fed maize agricultural niche in the US Southwest
Palaeoclimate research often focuses on continental, hemispheric and global scales, neglecting the local-scale changes of most importance to human adaptation. Here, the authors propose a new tree-ring-based methodology, capable of producing high-frequency, highly local climate-field reconstructions.
- R. Kyle Bocinsky
- & Timothy A. Kohler
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The emergence of modern sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean
Reconstructing past sea ice coverage in the Arctic is important for future climate predictions. Here, the authors present a new sea ice record from the Eurasian sector of the Arctic Ocean and report that Arctic sea ice reached its modern winter maximum for the first time 2.6 million years ago.
- Jochen Knies
- , Patricia Cabedo-Sanz
- & Antoni Rosell-Melé
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Article
| Open AccessPermafrost thawing as a possible source of abrupt carbon release at the onset of the Bølling/Allerød
Ice core records show evidence for an abrupt, and thus far unexplained, increase in atmospheric CO2 levels ~14,600 years ago. Here, the authors combine ice core data, a precisely dated decline in atmospheric 14C and numerical simulations, and propose thawing permafrost as a possible source of this event.
- Peter Köhler
- , Gregor Knorr
- & Edouard Bard
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Review Article |
Global potential of biospheric carbon management for climate mitigation
Carbon mitigation is considered an important and viable pathway towards climate stabilization, but competition for land is high. Here, Canadell and Schulze consider the sustainable implementation of a number of land-based biological carbon mitigation activities and assess the carbon savings achievable by 2050.
- Josep G. Canadell
- & E. Detlef Schulze
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Article
| Open AccessImproving farming practices reduces the carbon footprint of spring wheat production
Wheat is the world’s second most favoured food source, yet its production has climatic consequences. Here the authors quantify the carbon footprint of wheat production systems and evaluate potential alternative farming practices, with a reduced negative impact on climate.
- Yantai Gan
- , Chang Liang
- & Robert P. Zentner
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Article
| Open AccessExtending medium-range predictability of extreme hydrological events in Europe
Extreme winter flooding has caused devastation across Europe in recent years, highlighting the need for improved forecasts. Here, the authors show that the use of water vapour transport, rather than precipitation in weather prediction models, can extend the forecast horizon by as much as 3 days.
- David A. Lavers
- , Florian Pappenberger
- & Ervin Zsoter
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Article
| Open AccessEruption of a deep-sea mud volcano triggers rapid sediment movement
Submarine mud volcanoes are difficult to observe from the sea surface and previous recordings at depth have been short term. Here, the authors provide the first long-term monitoring from Håkon Mosby and suggest that mud volcanoes may be more important to the global methane budget than previously thought.
- Tomas Feseker
- , Antje Boetius
- & Dirk de Beer
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Article |
Orbital Asian summer monsoon dynamics revealed using an isotope-enabled global climate model
Asian speleothem δ18O records are widely used as a proxy for summer monsoon intensity, but their validity has been questioned. Here, the authors evaluate their validity using a 150,000-year transient simulation from an isotope-enabled global climate model.
- Thibaut Caley
- , Didier M. Roche
- & Hans Renssen
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Article |
Evidence for a weakening relationship between interannual temperature variability and northern vegetation activity
Northern Hemisphere photosynthesis is thought to respond positively to temperature variations, yet the strength of this relationship may change over time. Here, using a combination of satellite data and models, the authors assess the temporal change of this relationship over the past three decades.
- Shilong Piao
- , Huijuan Nan
- & Anping Chen
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Prediction of extreme floods in the eastern Central Andes based on a complex networks approach
Extreme rainfall events in the eastern Central Andes can result in substantial economic and ecological damage, yet their prediction is difficult. Here, the authors introduce the concept of network divergence and propose a general framework for the prediction of extreme events.
- N. Boers
- , B. Bookhagen
- & J. A. Marengo
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Article
| Open AccessMissing driver in the Sun–Earth connection from energetic electron precipitation impacts mesospheric ozone
Energetic electron precipitation (EEP) from the Earth's outer radiation belt can lead to ozone loss in the mesosphere, yet long-term variability has not been quantified. Here, the authors present satellite observations and show that on solar cycle timescales EEP causes ozone to vary by up to 34%.
- M. E. Andersson
- , P. T. Verronen
- & A. Seppälä